Hi, welcome to sports Friday.
Earlier this week, i said this would be a tough week to pick games, but i actually found quite a few games I'd consider playing (if i actually bet). Don't think any of these are a lock, but here are:
GAMES I LIKE
BC -7 over BYU
Ohio State -30 over Cincinatti
Rutgers -16 over Ohio
Boise -7 Wyoming
Notre Dame -6 over Michigan
Arkansas -6 over Vandy
Navy +1 over Stanford
Mississippi State -11 over Tulane (yes, i picked a team that hasn't even scored this season to beat tulane by more than 10 points)
Miami +4 over Louisiville (heard yesterday that the last 5 times, maybe it was 6, that Miami has been an underdog, they've won the game out right)
USC -18 over Nebraska
My record last week: 4-2-1 Season Record : 4-2-1
I thought it would be fun to add a twist to this. Since getting games right only does you any good if you bet them correctly, i thought i'd start using fake betting scenerios to see if my prognosticating would actually make me any money. here's how it works: wrong guesses cost the bet amount plus 10%, right guesses pay even money, two team parlays pay 2.6 to 1 and three teams pay 6 to 1 (found all this out last weekend while tailgating).
I'm going to give myself 1,000 points to use to play the season. let's see how fast i can go broke.
Straight-up bets:
100 points Ark over Vandy
150 points Boise over Wyoming
50 points USC over Nebraska
100 points Ohio State over Natti
50 points Miami over Louisiville
50 points Notre Dame over Michigan
2-team
100 points Rutgers and Boise
100 points Boise and Arkansas
100 points Rutgers and Boston College
3-team
25 points Arkansas, Boise, and Ohio State
50 points Rutgers. Arkansas, Boise
wow, just realized i used most of points already. i should go back and change some, i went into this only planning on betting three or four games. but i think i'll let it ride.
Remaining Balance: 125 points
***
Well, consider me sort of on the West Virginia bandwagon. I've decided that a team from the Big East can be a legitimate contender.
I still think they'll breeze through their joke of schedule, but i also think a lot of it has to do with the fact that they're good. but i'm taking back what i said about them getting slaughtered by a tough opponent in a bowl.
This is a good team (with the best down-field blocking i can remember seeing). Maryland moved the ball on them late, so i think they can be beaten. but i think they'll hang around with anybody.
***
of course the biggest game of the weekend is LSU against Auburn. Last weekend i mentioned that i was worried about how much Jacob Hester was involved in the offense. He proceeded to get 14 touches against Arizona, more than anybody else on the team.
That was the last week Les Miles gets the benefit of the doubt from me. LSU has as good of a WR corps as anybody in the country. I'm going to break something if the fullback/ back-up tailback comes out of the Auburn game as the leading receiver and gets nearly 10 carries out of the backfield.
surely it won't happen this weekend. i hope.